Analysis: Cutting through the bull to explain what’s really going on with EV, PHEV, hybrid and Tesla sales

Sales of battery electric vehicles are down, but Aussies have never embraced so many electric motors to power their vehicles.

Plug-in hybrids and regular hybrids are surging in the sales race off the back of new models and increasing interest in the tech.

But there’s devil in the detail of the monthly sales figure data.

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Many luxury brands, for example, continue to perform strongly with battery electric vehicles.

And medium passenger cars are dominated by EVs.

Let’s talk Tesla

Tesla’s dramatic sales drop has been the talk of the town – and the EV universe.

And while it’s certainly not what the brand would have had planned, it’s also worth putting it into context.

It’s not just Elon Musk’s bromance with Donald Trump that’s causing this downturn, although it’s definitely a factor.

Donald Trump and Elon Musk.
Donald Trump and Elon Musk.

Yes, Tesla sales were down 72 percent compared with February 2024.

But they had a long way to fall, following a massive sales result 12 months ago.

In February last year Tesla’s two models were in the list of top 10 sellers outright for the month up with diesel utes and medium SUVs like the Toyota HiLux and RAV4.

In fact, the only other brand with two cars in the top 10 was Toyota.

And in February 2025 the Tesla Model 3 still outsold the Toyota Camry, with 688 sales versus the Camry’s 483.

And despite being in runout ahead of the Juniper update’s arrival, the Tesla Model Y is still a strong seller in the medium SUV space.

With 924 sales in February it was the top selling medium SUV over $60,000 and was the ninth best selling medium SUV overall.

EVs still lead in medium passenger cars

We’re still buying more electric mid-sized passenger cars than ones powered by petrol and diesel (hybrid included).

Of 1358 medium cars sold in February, 884 of them were EVs.

And remember this is a segment that includes the Toyota Camry.

The biggest seller was the Tesla Model 3 (pictured top), with 688 sales.

But the BMW i4 did well, too, with 95 sales, which is not far off the Mercedes-Benz C-Class line-up (110).

2024 BMW i4 eDrive35.
2024 BMW i4 eDrive35.

PHEVs continue to boom

Plug-in hybrids are the darlings of the electrified world right now, largely off the back of new product.

The BYD Shark 6 was the top seller in February, accounting for 2026 of the 4871 sold for the month. Worth noting the plug-in ute’s total includes a few hundred January deliveries as well due to a reporting glitch.

PHEV sales have more than tripled so far in the first two months of the year, but we’ve bought almost five times more regular hybrids and battery electric vehicles.

RAV4 leads hybrid surge

After two months, plugless hybrid vehicle sales are up a massive 42.5 per cent year-on-year from 21,182 to 30,184.

The charge is being led by the Toyota RAV4, which has tallied 9481 sales to lead both months outright. Its sales are up 87.6 per cent year-on-year.

Yep, EVs are down

Sales of EVs have fallen in the first two months of the year, largely off the back of that Tesla result.

For February alone EV sales were down 19 per cent.

But with 5671 EV sales we’re still buying more full battery electric vehicles than plug-in hybrids (3448).

There’s a chance EVs will fight back after the fringe benefits tax (FBT) exemption on PHEVs dries up on April 1.

And, of course, there are plenty more new arrivals that should naturally kick interest along.

It’s also worth remembering the entire new vehicle market is down as back orders are now filled and the economy remains tight.

After two months, the overall market is off 6.7 per cent.

Some brands are punching hard on EVs

There are some impressive results in the sales figures.

MG was the second biggest seller of EVs in Australia with 869 sales, well ahead of Kia on 493. 

2024 MG4 XPower.
2024 MG4 XPower.

BMW continues to lead the luxury brands on EV sales and the German giant is the fourth biggest seller of electric vehicles in Australia.

Even BMW’s small car brand Mini muscles into the list of top 10 sellers.

Volvo continues to bubble along with healthy EV sales, too. 

And 40 percent of the Rolls-Royces sold in February were electric. OK, that translates to only four cars, but still…

And 17 percent of the 510 Porsches sold in February were electric, with the new Macan doing most of the heavy lifting.

The political fall-out

Automotive lobby group the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries (FCAI) took the opportunity offered by declining EV sales to attack Australia’s freshly introduced CO2 reduction regulations, the New Vehicle Efficiency Standard (NVES).

“We are now two months into the Government’s New Vehicle Efficiency Standard, and while the supply of battery electric vehicles has risen dramatically, consumer demand has fallen by 37 per cent this year compared with the first two months of 2024,” said FCAI chief executive Tony Weber.

“We knew the supply of EVs would increase and there are now 88 models supplied to the Australian market. However, our grave concern has always been the rate of EV adoption and what assumptions the Government had made in its modelling around consumer demand for EVs in the NVES. This modelling remains secret.

“The easy part is to set aspirational targets but without consumers demanding EVs, the NVES will not succeed. It is time for the Government to consider the realities faced by consumers.”

This brought a strong an immediate response from Polestar Australia chief Scott Maynard. Polestar withdrew from the FCAI last year because of its campaign against the NVES.

“Efforts to undermine this legislation will only disadvantage Australians,” he said.

“This week’s comments from the FCAI are the latest in a campaign to water down long-overdue emissions standards that will deliver Australians cleaner cars and lower running costs.

“The NVES was developed to lower vehicle emissions by incentivising carmakers to offer more hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and battery electric options, and we can clearly see car brands rising to that challenge.

“By the end of the year, Australian new car buyers will have over 100 battery electric vehicles available to them.

“Over 85 per cent of global car markets have a fuel efficiency standard in place to deliver improved health outcomes and reduce ownership costs. We must stay the course to see these benefits realised in Australia.”

EV sales by brand for February 2025

Tesla1592
MG869
Kia493
BMW488
BYD395
Volvo268
Mercedes-Benz249
Hyundai153
Mini143
Polestar125
Audi116
Ford106
Zeekr99
Porsche89
Cupra86
Chery67
Toyota66
Renault53
GWM44
Volkswagen33
Leapmotor29
Nissan18
Lexus17
Fiat14
Mercedes-Benz14
LDV11
Peugeot8
Subaru8
Skoda7
Rolls-Royce4
Genesis3
Jeep3
Mazda1

Source: VFACTS/FCAI and EV Council

EV sales by make/model for February 2025

Tesla Model Y924
Tesla Model 3688
MG MG4451
MG ZS432
Kia EV5400
BYD Sealion 7157
BYD Atto 3138
BMW iX1137
Volvo EX30108
BMW iX2105
Zeekr X98
Ford Mustang Mach-E96
BMW i495
Audi Q4 e-tron94
Mercedes-Benz EQE SUV94
Volvo C4086
Mercedes-Benz EQA84
Polestar 483
Hyundai Kona79
CUPRA Born71
Porsche Macan71
MINI Countryman69
Chery Omoda 567
Toyota bZ4X66
Hyundai Ioniq 565
Volvo XC4063
BMW 5 Series61
Mercedes-Benz EQB58
BMW X357
BYD Seal56
Renault Megane E-Tech48
Kia EV647
MINI Aceman46
BYD Dolphin44
GWM Ora44
Polestar 236
Kia EV934
BMW iX33
Leapmotor C1029
MINI Cooper28
Volkswagen ID. Buzz Cargo19
Nissan Leaf18
Porsche Taycan18
Audi Q6 e-tron15
CUPRA Tavascan15
Fiat 500 / Abarth14
Kia Niro12
Lexus RZ11
Volvo EX9011
Hyundai Ioniq 69
Mercedes-Benz Vito / eVito Van9
Volkswagen ID.49
Ford Transit Heavy8
LDV Deliver 7 / eDeliver78
Subaru Solterra8
Peugeot Partner7
Skoda Enyaq7
Lexus UX6
MG Cyberster6
Mercedes-Benz G-Class6
Polestar 36
Volkswagen ID.55
Audi Q8 e-tron4
Mercedes-Benz EQS SUV4
Renault Kangoo4
Rolls-Royce Coupe/Conv4
Audi e-tron GT3
Mercedes-Benz EQE3
Jeep Avenger3
Ford Transit Custom2
Genesis GV602
LDV Mifa92
Lotus Emeya2
Mercedes-Benz Sprinter2
Mercedes-Benz Vito/ eVito Tour2
Genesis GV701
LDV T60/T60 EV 4X21
Lotus Eletre1
Mazda MX-301
Mercedes-Benz EQV1
Peugeot Expert / E-Expert1
Renault Trafic1
Zeekr 0091

Source: VFACTS/FCAI and EV Council

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